
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba declared his intention to remain in office on Sunday, July 20, 2025, after the ruling Liberal Democratic Party was projected to lose its upper house majority in today's election.
When asked by a reporter if he intended to remain as prime minister and leader of the ruling party, Ishiba said "yes," in a joint press conference at the party headquarters in Tokyo while vote counting was still underway.
"We are engaged in very important tariff negotiations with the United States...we must not ruin these negotiations," Ishiba said, as reported by Al Arabiya.
Japan's ruling coalition is likely to lose its upper house majority, according to post-election polls. This could potentially trigger political turmoil as the tariff deadline with the United States approaches.
While the vote does not directly determine whether Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's shaky minority government will fall, it does put pressure on the embattled leader, who also lost control of the more powerful lower house in October.
Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner, Komeito, need 50 seats to maintain control of the 248-member upper house in the half-contested election. They are projected to secure 32 to 51 seats, according to exit polls by public broadcaster NHK, as cited by CNA.
Another press release predicted the ruling coalition would win 41 to 43 seats. If the coalition wins fewer than 46 seats, it would mark its worst result since its formation in 1999.
This follows its worst result in 15 years in the October lower house election, a vote that left Ishiba's government vulnerable to a no-confidence motion and calls from within his own party for a leadership change.
Opposition parties advocating tax cuts and tighter immigration policies appear to be making gains, according to exit polls, with rising consumer prices—particularly the surge in rice prices—a key issue for voters.
"The LDP has largely played defense in this election, being on the wrong side of voters' key issues," said David Boling, a director at the consulting firm Eurasia Group.
"Polls show that most households want a consumption tax cut to combat inflation, something the LDP opposes. Opposition parties are capitalizing on that and emphasizing that message."
The LDP has been pushing for fiscal tightening, focusing on the highly volatile government bond market, as investors worry about Japan's ability to refinance the world's largest debt.
Adding to the anxiety surrounding the world's fourth-largest economy, Japan faces an August 1 deadline to reach a trade deal with the United States or face heavy tariffs in its largest export market.
The populist Sanseito party appears to be one of the night's big winners, projected to win 10 to 15 seats in the assembly, up from just one it previously held.
Sanseito's 'Japanese First' campaign and warnings about a "silent invasion" of foreigners have brought once-fringe political rhetoric into the mainstream.
"I'm in graduate school, but there are no Japanese people around me. They're all foreigners," said Yu Nagai, a 25-year-old university student who voted in Sanseito the previous Sunday.
"When I see how compensation and money are spent on foreigners, I feel like Japanese people are being disrespected," Nagai said after casting his ballot at a polling station in Tokyo's Shinjuku district.
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